Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2507.303918 2719.619645 2935.391167 3170.780317 3420.028121 3675.782747 3957.738892
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2174.325447 2489.708664 2822.854137 3199.789777 3613.210387 4051.656572 4550.585914
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1942.805625 2317.204338 2724.224007 3197.137499 3729.003976 4306.233608 4977.544204
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1804.780277 2226.711980 2696.380727 3253.934445 3893.645792 4600.606811 5436.770537
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1647.108684 2097.772230 2610.581309 3231.459819 3956.824105 4771.527979 5749.597951
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1565.218587 2048.766800 2609.438628 3299.646486 4118.259961 5050.068166 6182.443532
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1469.016180 1974.740796 2571.881943 3318.758095 4217.307979 5252.995520 6525.950434
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1376.084525 1898.037547 2525.186881 3321.517341 4292.496688 5424.805688 6831.176086
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1244.280274 1764.874952 2402.271694 3224.738673 4241.887226 5442.618153 6950.297891
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1219.460964 1765.675041 2443.720701 3328.908252 4434.826329 5751.781720 7418.211583
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1180.517987 1745.366879 2456.358915 3395.452474 4580.637274 6004.177692 7819.172126
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1115.056937 1686.409784 2416.465090 3392.859408 4638.424479 6148.135381 8088.364489
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1037.984055 1609.192225 2351.041885 3356.616984 4654.174289 6242.093526 8299.985121
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 992.883668 1573.338930 2338.061739 3386.829182 4753.571959 6440.018037 8641.271023
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 938.634095 1521.810035 2301.629608 3384.062091 4809.022591 6582.119228 8913.264196
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 911.260156 1506.606971 2312.826138 3443.322419 4944.215504 6824.884798 9312.310827
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 856.387399 1449.106584 2263.819457 3419.874347 4969.879894 6927.825010 9535.356939
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 837.766783 1443.331979 2285.327939 3491.009127 5119.699465 7189.638909 9960.664462
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 803.310282 1412.332633 2270.130745 3510.944250 5201.048538 7363.546707 10275.023134
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 765.526125 1374.448256 2243.565391 3513.822291 5258.651045 7506.393438 10550.027822
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 698.225124 1288.110157 2144.542094 3412.861753 5173.672167 7461.475108 10581.657067
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 697.243498 1304.744726 2194.637071 3521.531282 5373.779724 7790.946367 11099.645606
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 684.931403 1302.781249 2217.068350 3590.931315 5520.650263 8051.357663 11529.737107